The double security and socio-political crisis underlying food insecurity in Niger

Redazione BnD . 13/01/2024 . Reading time: 4 minutes

In the far eastern regions, in Diffa; of the far West, in Tahoua and Tillabéry; and in the central south in Maradi, at least 20% of families, mainly made up of poor people, are faced with food deficits resulting from the effects of security shocks amplified by the impacts of the sociopolitical situation. As a result, these regions continue to have the highest level of food insecurity in the country. The security crisis persists and continues to increase the internal displacement of populations. The majority of internally displaced people are located in the regions of Tillabéry, Tahoua, Diffa and Maradi, where security incidents perpetrated by terrorist groups are on the rise. In addition to causing population displacement, the activities of terrorist groups significantly affect people’s livelihoods, trade and income opportunities. Furthermore, ongoing military operations to counter terrorist groups have further reduced interviews of humanitarian actors. The sociopolitical situation contributed to the deterioration of the food situation of families after the imposition of economic, financial and trade sanctions by ECOWAS following the coup d’état on 26 July 2023. However, the decisions taken during the Conference of Heads of State and Government meetings held in Abuja on 10 December 2023 also include the recognition of the coup and the end of the Bazoum regime, as well as the designation of three presidents to lead negotiations with the country’s new authorities. Consumer products are present on the markets, but at levels lower than the five-year average due to multiple restrictions on internal and cross-border flows due to insecurity and restrictive measures imposed by ECOWAS. The demand on the markets for the replenishment of stocks is very strong from farmers, families with agricultural production deficits and institutions. However, market disruptions have led to price increases of between 25 and 40 percent compared to the five-year average for all grains, including local products such as millet and sorghum. After the coup d’état that overthrew the regime of Bazoum Mohamed and the subsequent sanctions of 30 July 2023 by ECOWAS and UEMOA against Niger, the conference of heads of state and government held in Abuja (Nigeria) on 10 December 2023 ratified the end of Bazoum’s regime. The decisions taken include the designation of a delegation of three presidents to conduct mediation with the new Niger authorities in order to develop an exit plan from the crisis. Recent repercussions include the denunciation of other cooperation agreements with France and the European Union, as well as a visit by the president of the CNSP to Mali and Burkina Faso. There will also be meetings between the Ministries of Economy and Finance and Foreign Affairs to discuss and agree on the operational contents of the Liptako Gourma Charter, which establishes the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) including Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. The security situation evolved differently depending on the outbreaks of tension and the months. Between June and August 2023, data according to ACLED does not show a trend, but rather a see-sawing evolution of increases followed by decreases in security incident cases. Since September 2023, security incidents have seen a steady upward trend, with a 24 percent increase in October compared to September and a 54 percent increase in November compared to October 2023. The number of security incidents also varies according to the geographical areas. In the Maradi and Diffa regions, where armed banditry and Boko Haram activities prevail respectively, security incidents do not exceed 20 cases in the last six months. The types of security incidents that increasingly dominate in these regions are kidnappings for ransom. In the Tillabéry and Tahoua regions, the dominant terrorist activities are those of the Islam and Muslim Support Group. From June to November 2023, the recorded security incident cases are lowest in the Tahoua region, not exceeding 10 cases. At the same time, in the Tillabéry region, security incidents concern murders and physical attacks against civilians, extortion of goods in kind and thefts of cash (tens of millions of FCFA) and hundreds of heads of livestock reaching up to 30 cases of security incidents through November 2023.

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